Arinze: Sell

Current price:
bid 6, ask 7, last 6
Due date:
1 March 2010
Recommendation:
Sell.
Comment:
As reported earlier, this claim will be resolved in the coming days. Paddy Power is running bets on who will be the next pope, and they are currently taking bets at 1:8 for Arinze. If you divide 1:8 by the sum of all odds (2.645), you get a probability of 4.7%, which is below the current bidding price.
My current holdings in this claim: -107